Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.036933 0.040227 0.043548 0.047139 0.050907 0.054739 0.058922
2025-10-26 0.031822 0.036700 0.041781 0.047447 0.053563 0.059944 0.067083
2025-11-02 0.026436 0.032254 0.038512 0.045687 0.053633 0.062112 0.071795
2025-11-09 0.022909 0.029444 0.036679 0.045181 0.054801 0.065260 0.077402
2025-11-16 0.020156 0.027220 0.035255 0.044909 0.056043 0.068342 0.082821
2025-11-23 0.018768 0.026430 0.035343 0.046247 0.059012 0.073289 0.090276
2025-11-30 0.017447 0.025586 0.035257 0.047288 0.061566 0.077714 0.097108
2025-12-07 0.016107 0.024596 0.034898 0.047920 0.063577 0.081467 0.103141
2025-12-14 0.014677 0.023375 0.034160 0.048016 0.064886 0.084359 0.108145
2025-12-21 0.013888 0.022919 0.034319 0.049158 0.067412 0.088648 0.114758
2025-12-28 0.012353 0.021356 0.032988 0.048381 0.067557 0.090085 0.118001
2026-01-04 0.011364 0.020466 0.032461 0.048557 0.068822 0.092819 0.122747
2026-01-11 0.010604 0.019867 0.032308 0.049223 0.070725 0.096373 0.128545
2026-01-18 0.009888 0.019280 0.032139 0.049846 0.072566 0.099856 0.134275
2026-01-25 0.008437 0.017497 0.030263 0.048177 0.071475 0.099740 0.135667
2026-02-01 0.007525 0.016457 0.029349 0.047722 0.071881 0.101422 0.139201
2026-02-08 0.006762 0.015584 0.028620 0.047475 0.072519 0.103369 0.143042
2026-02-15 0.006538 0.015571 0.029114 0.048875 0.075284 0.107954 0.150107
2026-02-22 0.006243 0.015415 0.029384 0.049959 0.077635 0.112029 0.156559
2026-03-01 0.005856 0.015071 0.029354 0.050617 0.079421 0.115395 0.162147
2026-03-08 0.005358 0.014488 0.028940 0.050718 0.080460 0.117814 0.166566
2026-03-15 0.005157 0.014425 0.029301 0.051900 0.082928 0.122040 0.173225
2026-03-22 0.004516 0.013489 0.028282 0.051097 0.082729 0.122872 0.175669